Aarons 499 @Talladega

[Maxx40]

CUP YTD

29-19 +06.84 Units (Match-Ups)
14-08 +12.50 Units (Props)
05-23 +06.94 Units (Outrights)

Total: +26.28 Units

Getting short on time but this is what I played:

Match-Ups

2.00 units Tony Stewart (+100) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
Simply stated I like Tony today, should be Top 3 or so a good chance for the win

2.00 units Mark Martin (+100) over Carl Edwards (@5dimes)
Really don't like Edwards on plate tracks and Martin is on a roll right now

2.00 units Clint Bowyer (-105) over Greg Biffle (@5dimes)
Really, really don't like Biff on plate tracks, Bowyer has acclumated(?) well to these places and this seems to be the only team that is a steady influenece at RCR right now

2.00 units Kurt Busch (-140) over Kevin Harvick (@@thegreek)
Busch is another guy I like today, RCR is in a mess right now

1.00 unit Juan Pablo Montoya (+110) over Martin Truex (@5dimes)
Don't understand this line at all, Montoya on pole and should do well today.Truex has had problems staying out of trouble on superspeedways

1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (-115) over Denny Hamlin (@thegreek)
Hate going against my boy Denny, but JJ has been far superior at Talladega and Daytona

1.00 unit Sam Hornish (-120) over Scott Speed (@thegreek)
A little uncomfortable backing Hornish but he seems to be coming around and I like Penske over Red Bull Racing

Props

3.00 units Clint Bowyer (-115) under 18.5 (@5dimes)
Its always a gamble at Talladega but if Bowyer is around at the end he should easily be Top 10-12 if not better

2.00 units Mark Martin (-135) under 16.5 (@5dimes)
Another that I think could easily be Top 10, hate this price though

Outrights

0.66 unit Tony Stewart (+800) @5dimes
0.33 unit Kurt Busch (+1300) @thegreek
0.33 unit Jimmie Johnson (+1200) @thegreek
0.33 unit Mark Martin (+1500) @thegreek

Good luck to everyone!

 

[tlento]

Hornish has the flu, Kvapil is standing by as a relief driver.

I went with Sadler over Kahne for some more underdog money, (won Jr. over Kyle yesterday). You never know on superspeedways, no reason to take favorites.

 

[ATP]

hate biffle aswell as truex

 

[Maxx40]

thank tlento for the info, if they can make the switch without losing any ground I may like it better with Kvapil, the only thing would be with him being unfamiliar with the car/team

as far as your play, not that outlandish, sadler has had some really good runs at daytona and plate tracks are not exactly KK'S specialty, good luck today

 

[tlento]

I agree with you, Kvapil has a good average here. Had to look at the rules about that, the new driver counts for the original bet. They shouldn't have a problem changing on such a large track.

Sadler has the better average, worth the risk for the money, good luck to you. Are your units based on $100?